Page 1 of 1

#1 Flat Taxes and Angry Voters

Posted: Thu Nov 03, 2011 4:30 am
by frigidmagi
NYTimes
By wide margins, Americans are now telling pollsters they want a tax system that raises more money and is more fair by asking the rich to pay more. They are connecting the dots between the lavish high-end tax cuts of the past decade and today’s serious problems — including widening inequality and mounting deficits — and demanding change. The Republican presidential candidates aren’t listening.

Take the flat tax plan of Gov. Rick Perry of Texas. For all his talk about how it would make filing easier — that is dubious — what it would really do is give high-income Americans a big tax break, while almost everyone else could expect relatively modest tax savings or none at all.

In his plan, taxpayers could choose to stick with the current system or use the flat tax, under which wages and salary would be taxed at 20 percent, versus a current top rate of 35 percent for the affluent. Investment income and multimillion-dollar estates would be untaxed, versus a current top rate of 15 percent on most investments and 35 percent on estates.

In a recent interview with The Times and CNBC, Mr. Perry said “I don’t care” about criticisms that the plan is a giveaway to the rich. He expressed the magical belief that more and bigger high-end tax cuts would spur economic growth and generate significant new tax revenues.

That’s a fairy tale, of course, and one that the conservative Republicans who vote in primaries love to hear. The rest of the country is feeling a lot more skeptical.

According to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll, nearly 70 percent of Americans say that Congressional Republicans’ policies favor the rich and that they oppose lowering taxes for large corporations. Two-thirds polled say that wealth should be distributed more evenly; a similar share wants to increase taxes on millionaires, not cut them. In a previous Times/CBS poll from August, a majority of Americans also wanted to use tax increases to close the deficit, rather than rely only on spending cuts.

Mr. Perry has not provided the details necessary to independently analyze the plan’s impact, but economists of the right and left agree that it would be a huge revenue loser. Mr. Perry’s main prescription for dealing with the deficit is to slash government spending down to a level last seen in the 1960s — before programs like Medicare, Pell grants and Head Start had kicked in and long before the baby boom generation was facing retirement.

Of course, Mr. Perry isn’t the only Republican contender calling for cutting taxes on the rich and gutting the government’s ability to pay for important programs. Herman Cain’s “9-9-9” plan is a variant on the flat tax; Newt Gingrich supports a flat tax roughly similar to Mr. Perry’s.

Mitt Romney has not endorsed a flat tax, and in 1996, when Steve Forbes, then a presidential candidate, floated one, Mr. Romney derided it — justifiably — as a “tax cut for fat cats.” But he is in favor of extending the Bush-era tax cuts and cutting taxes on investments and on corporations. And to tame deficits, he has called for hard spending caps, a tool that could lead to indiscriminate and overly harsh cutting.

President Obama has a better plan, but it is only a start. He has called for closing some corporate loopholes, ending the high-end Bush-era tax cuts and capping the value of tax deductions for high-income Americans. Importantly, he would use the new revenue to both finance needed government spending and reduce the deficit.

The country also needs a comprehensive reform of the tax system, one that strengthens progressivity and raises more revenue from a mix of sources. All of the needed revenue — to meet health care needs; to improve education, infrastructure and security; to foster new technologies and protect the environment — cannot be raised from rich Americans, nor from the income tax alone.

It is encouraging that after reflexively rejecting tax increases for so long, more Americans are recognizing that, in fact, incessant tax cutting is largely to blame for the nation’s fragile condition, and that new taxes are part of the solution. If only more politicians would catch up.
I am in awe of the Republican Party's ability to throw legions of tone-deaf, iron ideologue at the American People. In the midst of a Winter of Discontent for America, where people increasingly speak the idea that the rich have been treated to gently and aren't carrying their weight, the GOP continues to insist that we must ask less of those who have the most and more of everyone else.

I can only hope the Democrats aren't as foolish.

#2 Re: Flat Taxes and Angry Voters

Posted: Thu Nov 03, 2011 6:13 am
by The Minx
I don't mind the Flat Tax so much, if nothing else because the current system has many of the rich pay less than most people. The nominal rate of 35% versus a flat 20% rate matters less than the loopholes. The real question is whether they would manage to add as many loopholes to the flat tax as to the current system.

If regular people are given a choice which system they want to use, then at least they'd be able to see whether they pay more or less with the flat tax.

I just wonder about revenues if this binary system is adopted.

#3 Re: Flat Taxes and Angry Voters

Posted: Thu Nov 03, 2011 2:59 pm
by rhoenix
The Minx wrote:I don't mind the Flat Tax so much, if nothing else because the current system has many of the rich pay less than most people. The nominal rate of 35% versus a flat 20% rate matters less than the loopholes. The real question is whether they would manage to add as many loopholes to the flat tax as to the current system.

If regular people are given a choice which system they want to use, then at least they'd be able to see whether they pay more or less with the flat tax.

I just wonder about revenues if this binary system is adopted.
The idea of a flat tax - a much simpler code - is appealing on its face. Simpler tax forms, less bruhaha over tax rates, and such.

However, I challenge you to find one that doesn't either utterly screw over the destitute, or leaves the wealthiest basically untouched.

#4 Re: Flat Taxes and Angry Voters

Posted: Thu Nov 03, 2011 3:36 pm
by The Minx
How would the rich be untouched by a flat tax if you remove all loopholes from the code? As I pointed out, if rich people are paying proportionally less than the regular people with the current system, presumably that wouldn't be the case any more if the rate were flat with no loopholes. For example, Buffet claims that he pays less than his secretary right now. The poor can be protected if the tax only kicks in at the poverty limit.

#5 Re: Flat Taxes and Angry Voters

Posted: Thu Nov 03, 2011 5:14 pm
by Derek Thunder
The Minx wrote:The poor can be protected if the tax only kicks in at the poverty limit.
The federal poverty line right now is $10,890 for individuals and $22,350 for a family of four - I think this would still amount to a tax hike for most lower-income people. Right now, a single person earning $30,000 who does not itemize and receives the standard deduction and personal exemption would pay an effective rate of 6.5% (calculated here). Under a flat tax where income above $10,890 is taxed at 20%, they would pay an effective rate of 9.1%. A family of four earning $40,000, claiming a non-itemized deduction of $11600 and a personal exemption of $14800 would see a rate increase from an effective %3.5 to %8.8.

I'm not a tax accountant, this is probably a gross oversimplification, but a flat tax would generally have the effect of raising taxes for most people.

#6 Re: Flat Taxes and Angry Voters

Posted: Thu Nov 03, 2011 5:27 pm
by The Minx
Well, I suppose the tax free limit could be made to be above the poverty limit. :???:

For the $40000 income with a family example you cited, that would be a tax free limit of about $32840 to get to the same 3.5%, compared with the previous $26400 total.

#7 Re: Flat Taxes and Angry Voters

Posted: Thu Nov 03, 2011 6:35 pm
by rhoenix
The Minx wrote:Well, I suppose the tax free limit could be made to be above the poverty limit. :???:

For the $40000 income with a family example you cited, that would be a tax free limit of about $32840 to get to the same 3.5%, compared with the previous $26400 total.
Trust me, this disparity only gets far, far worse when you go up the income scale.

Let's say we take Perry's 20% flat tax idea.

Here it is in a sounds-bite version. In the 1950's through the 1970's, the tax rate on the upper 1% bounced between 60% and 90%. If there's a flat-tax for everyone instituted, why would the rich want to pay even the 30%+ they pay now, when they can just pay the flat tax of 20%?

With that in mind, is it any wonder the idea of flat taxes are being hawked right now?

#8 Re: Flat Taxes and Angry Voters

Posted: Thu Nov 03, 2011 6:45 pm
by The Minx
Does that take current loopholes and tax breaks into account?

And yea, I wouldn't want to see two systems at the same time where people could pick and choose - there's enough shortfall in revenues as it is. Though OTOH, given the ability to choose, then at least one can't say that poor people would have to pay more.

#9 Re: Flat Taxes and Angry Voters

Posted: Thu Nov 03, 2011 10:36 pm
by frigidmagi
Here's another bit, most of the wealthy make their money through stocks and property. Most flat tax plans do away with capital gains tax (like in Perry's plan leaving such earnings utterly untouched). This means that the wealthy main source of earning is utterly untouched, meaning they pay significantly less taxes. It would be like if I had two jobs, one that paid me 20k a year and another that paid me 200k a year and you promised to only tax me on the 20k a year job instead of both. So, yes, in the vast majority of flat tax plans the wealthy do indeed end up paying a bit less and leaving us with less revenue... Which for most of the these people coming up with the plan, seems to be the point.

#10 Re: Flat Taxes and Angry Voters

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2011 11:24 am
by The Minx
Yea, they would have to set the other taxes flat and at the same rate.

#11 Re: Flat Taxes and Angry Voters

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2011 11:37 am
by SirNitram
It's worth noting that there's several kinds of tax schemes under the phrase 'flat tax'.

#12 Re: Flat Taxes and Angry Voters

Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2011 12:08 pm
by Comrade Tortoise
I see no details on the corporate income tax plan for Perry, but if it is anything like Newt's there is also no reason for anyone with the means to simply Incorporate their assets. File some forms, pay a fee, and oh look, they now have a personal income of Zero and a much reduced corporate tax rate, if any at all depending on the formulation. Or, under Perry's plan, simply invest every dime and live off the dividends, which are completely untaxed.

#13 Re: Flat Taxes and Angry Voters

Posted: Sun Nov 06, 2011 4:34 am
by SirNitram
Perry's tax plan got attacked by.. Phylis Schafly. Because apparently not being able to file jointly and thus benefit when one is the primary breadwinner, DESTROYING MARRIAGE.

Pardon me while I enjoy more Redstate on Redstate violence.

#14 Re: Flat Taxes and Angry Voters

Posted: Mon Nov 07, 2011 5:54 pm
by The Minx
Comrade Tortoise wrote:I see no details on the corporate income tax plan for Perry, but if it is anything like Newt's there is also no reason for anyone with the means to simply Incorporate their assets. File some forms, pay a fee, and oh look, they now have a personal income of Zero and a much reduced corporate tax rate, if any at all depending on the formulation. Or, under Perry's plan, simply invest every dime and live off the dividends, which are completely untaxed.
The reason a 0% dividends tax is a popular idea is that the income has already been taxed under the income tax (if you're incorporating the money you have earned previously) or under the corporate tax (if it's new profits your corporation has earned). By contrast, in the case of wages paid by the corporation, that's part of it's expenses, and is therefore not counted for the purposes of the corporate tax. When the wages are paid it's just the income tax (and payroll tax) that gets paid.

#15 Re: Flat Taxes and Angry Voters

Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2011 7:23 pm
by rhoenix
The Minx wrote:The reason a 0% dividends tax is a popular idea is that the income has already been taxed under the income tax (if you're incorporating the money you have earned previously) or under the corporate tax (if it's new profits your corporation has earned). By contrast, in the case of wages paid by the corporation, that's part of it's expenses, and is therefore not counted for the purposes of the corporate tax. When the wages are paid it's just the income tax (and payroll tax) that gets paid.
In theory, sure. Do you agree that there's an issue when the 30 richest companies in America pay less in taxes than we do?

How about when they get more in refunds than they did in paying taxes, effectively giving them a negative tax bill?

#16 Re: Flat Taxes and Angry Voters

Posted: Wed Nov 09, 2011 7:15 pm
by The Minx
The fact that many corporations pay little tax doesn't change the fact that if you both tax things like dividends and capital gains and add a corporate tax, then that is indeed double taxation.


PS: I did mention that the other kinds of taxes people pay need to be set at the same rate, so I don't think that you're being entirely fair suggesting that I'm OK with the current situation (I'm not). Besides, dividends and capital gains taxes are paid out to regular people too. At the end of the day, "companies" are groups of people, not persons in their own right, regardless of what the law says.