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#1 Egypt supreme court calls for parliament to be dissolved

Posted: Thu Jun 14, 2012 6:21 pm
by frigidmagi
BBC
Egypt's supreme court has caused widespread alarm by calling for the dissolution of the lower house of parliament and for fresh elections.

Two days before Egyptians choose a new president, it has declared last year's parliamentary vote unconstitutional.

Muslim Brotherhood presidential candidate Mohamed Mursi said the decision "must be respected".

But other political figures have expressed anger amid fears that the military wants to increase its power.

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Egypt just witnessed the smoothest military coup”

In quotes: Egyptian reaction
Another senior Muslim Brotherhood politician, Essam Al-Arian, said the ruling on parliament would send Egypt into a "dark tunnel".

The Brotherhood's Freedom and Justice party won 46% of the vote in the three-month parliamentary poll and Mr Arian warned that the decision would leave the incoming president without a parliament or a constitution.

Islamist Abdul Moneim Aboul Fotouh, who took part in the first round of the presidential vote in May, said that dissolving parliament amounted to "a total coup, anyone who imagines that the millions of youths will let this pass is dreaming."

Protesters gathered in Tahrir square in the centre of Cairo after the ruling.

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Analysis


Jon Leyne
BBC News, Cairo
The supreme constitutional court had been expected to say that some parts of the parliamentary election were illegitimate but the chief judge has gone much further by saying there will have to be a complete re-run.

That is bound to infuriate the Muslim Brotherhood, the largest party in parliament.

There are also reports that the ruling military council may take back the power to legislate and even, in effect, to write the constitution.

That is still unconfirmed, but if it did happen, the opposition would see it as close to a military coup.

A compromise is still possible. But it does look ominously as if Egypt is headed, at the very least, to a new political gridlock.

The Salafist Al-Nour party, which has the second biggest representation in parliament, said the ruling showed "a complete disregard for the free will of voters".

Parliament speaker Saad El Katatny was equally scathing, arguing that no-one had the authority to dissolve parliament.

'Historic ruling'
In a separate ruling, the supreme court also decided that former Prime Minister Ahmed Shafiq could continue to run for president in the June 16-17 presidential run-off election, rejecting as unconstitutional a law that would have barred him from standing.

Under the Political Exclusion Law, passed by parliament, senior officials from former President Hosni Mubarak's regime were banned from standing for office.

Mr Shafiq is standing against Mr Mursi in a tight run-off. He told supporters that the court had made a "historic ruling and verdict that meant there was no way for anyone to do particular laws for particular people."

Egypt's ruling military council (Scaf) held an emergency meeting after the two court rulings and later confirmed that the election would go ahead as planned, and urged Egyptians to vote.

But uncertainty about the intentions of the military had already been raised on Wednesday when the justice ministry announced that army personnel would have the right to detain civilians during the election period.


Ahmed Shafiq was the last prime minister under Hosni Mubarak
Addressing the fear that the military handover of power might be stalled, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton told reporters "there can be no going back on the democratic transition".

Mr Mursi was guarded in his response to the court's rulings. "I respect the decision of the Supreme Constitutional Court in that I respect the institutions of the state and the principle of separation of powers," he told Egyptian TV, according to AFP news agency.

But in a later speech he appealed to voters, with a warning that the country was at a turning point: "a minority are trying to corrupt the nation and take us back. We will go to the ballot box to say no to those failures, those criminals."

'Against the rules'
The court had been considering the validity of last year's parliamentary election, because some of the seats were contested on a proportional list system, with others on the first-past-the-post system.

It decided that the election law had allowed parties to compete for the one third of seats reserved for independent candidates.

The head of the supreme court Farouk Soltan told Reuters: "The ruling regarding parliament includes the dissolution of the lower house of parliament in its entirety because the law upon which the elections were held is contrary to rules of the constitution."

Many of the seats ruled unconstitutional were won by the Muslim Brotherhood.

But if parliament is dissolved, there will be uproar, the BBC's Jon Leyne says, because the Muslim Brotherhood has a majority of seats and will fear a worse performance in a re-run parliamentary vote.

Since the fall of Mubarak, Egypt's military has promised to hand power to an elected president by the start of July, but with no constitution and now the prospect of no parliament to write one, the new president is unlikely have his powers defined by the time he comes into office.
The Military council had taken upon itself Parliament's powers according to a CNN article on this as well. This begins to look somewhat like a coup although I am withholding judgement until it plays out.

#2 Re: Egypt supreme court calls for parliament to be dissolved

Posted: Thu Jun 14, 2012 8:38 pm
by frigidmagi

#3 Re: Egypt supreme court calls for parliament to be dissolved

Posted: Fri Jun 15, 2012 4:11 pm
by Josh
Sad.

#4 Re: Egypt supreme court calls for parliament to be dissolved

Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2012 5:21 pm
by Lys
Coup? It's questionable whether there was any revolution in the first place. Mubarak was ousted, but the military is still in power, and has been all along. The have been no significant political changes, no revolutionary fervour, and no sign that the military ever intended to permit true democracy. The Parliamentary elections, for example, were set up so that no group of coalition of groups could form a real majority. The reason the Muslim Brotherhood managed it, was because they ran their candidates on the slots for independents. They did, in fact, break the rules, and the Parliament is indeed unconstitutional. On the other hand, these are the rules for a rigged game, so it's difficult to call them the bad guys for breaking them. Though honestly I don't have much faith that either side has any actual respect for the democratic processes, and are merely using them as means to power.

Consider the following, for the Presidential election, possibly the most important election in Egypt's history, the turnout was 44% of registered voters. This is not uncommon for a self-satisfied Western democracy, but for a country supposedly in the midst of a revolution? It's very unexpected and strange. That level of apathy suggests either widespread voter intimidation, widespread voter indifference, or possibly both. More tellingly though, the turnout was significantly higher for the Parliamentary elections. In pretty much every country ever, the turnout is higher for the Presidential elections than the Parliamentary elections. Furthermore, given Egypt's history of being ruled by strongmen, one would think the average Egyptian would indeed put more weight on who the President is than Parliament's make-up. Yet the turnout does not reflect this. Again, something is not right.

That's before we get into the matter that the level of support for Shafiq, nearly a quarter of the people who actually voted, is nearly double of what one would have expected it to be both from pre-election polling and the results of the Parliamentary elections where Mubarak-era candidates were simply massacred. It is thus not very credible that the election was truly free and fair.

So far as I can tell there was no revolution. Mubarak screwed up by neglecting his power base, the military, and was ousted by the same. The military has been in charge of the situation the whole time, and has carefully rigged the system to provide the illusion of democracy simply as a tool for social control. Shafiq is not just Mubarak's former Prime Minister, but he is also a former Air Marshall. I expect that the results of the ongoing election shall have him the victor, and with one of theirs in power the military can hand over control of the government without actually doing any such thing. The Muslim Brotherhood tried to beat the military at their own game, following or breaking the rules as it suited them to seize power. I believe they have failed, because their opponents rigged the system and hedged their bets too well.

This is no coup, there is only the military openly doing what it has quietly been doing all along: exerting control. On the plus side, an Egypt ruled by Mubarak's goons instead of the Brotherhood is more in line with America's strategic interests. So yay for Uncle Sam (and Israel besides).