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#1 US High School Graduation Rate hits 40-year high

Posted: Thu Jan 24, 2013 12:09 am
by General Havoc
http://www.latimes.com/news/nation/nationnow/la-na-nn-high-school-graduation-rate-increasing-20130122,0,3444079.story
The percentage of U.S. students graduating from high school within four years rose to its highest level in decades in 2010, while the rate of those who dropped out fell to one of its lowest in years.

The latest federal report on public school graduates and dropouts, released Tuesday, paints an improving picture of high school education, but the results vary by location, a reflection of the reality that education policy remains a local issue.

Contributing to the improvement was a poor economy, with fewer jobs of any kind available, especially less of the poorer-paying, entry-level posts that can tempt students to leave school. Unemployment ranged as high as 10% in the 2009-10 school year, the most recent year included in the study.

According to the report, 3,128,022 public school students received a high school diploma in that school year. That led to an Averaged Freshman Graduation Rate of 78.2%, the best since 1974, according to the U.S. Education Department. The AFGR is an estimate of high school students who graduate within four years of starting ninth grade.

That is also the best recent rate since at least the 2002-03 school year, when it stood at 73.9%. The graduation rate has been seesawing through the decade, up to 75% in 2003-04 then declining slightly before it hit 75.5% in 2008-09.

California, with the nation's largest public school system, led the country in new high school graduates in 2010, turning out almost 405,000. Its AFGR of 78.2% matched the national average, and was more than 7 points better than the previous year.

But California also produced the most number of dropouts, almost 93,000, for a rate of 4.6%, well above the national average. During the 2009-10 academic year, more than 514,000 students dropped out of high school nationwide, a rate of 3.4%.

Even as the national graduation rate was moving up and down through the years, there continued to be a wide variance among the states, ranging from 57.8% in Nevada and 59.9% in the District of Columbia to 91.1% in Wisconsin and 91.4% Vermont.

Overall, there was a percentage increase of at least one point in 38 states in 2009-10 from a year earlier while only the District of Columbia reported at least a one percentage point decrease in the same year.

By race, the average graduation rate was best for Asian/Pacific Islander students at 93.5% and weakest for African Americans at 66.1%. According to the report, white students graduated at 83.0%; Latinos at 71.4%; and American Indian and Alaska Native at 69.1%.

The recent high point for the dropout rate was 2006-07 when it stood at 4.4%; it then fell to 4.1% for the next two years. Nationally, students were most likely to drop out of high school during their senior year.

Arizona had the highest dropout rate, at 7.8%, followed by Mississippi at 7.4%, according to the report. Mississippi, New Mexico and Wyoming had dropout rates that rose more than one percentage point, while Delaware, Illinois and Louisiana reported decreases of at least one percentage point. Illinois dropped from roughly 12% to 3% while Louisiana dropped from 7% to 5%.

New Hampshire and Idaho had the lowest dropout rates at 1.2% and 1.4%, respectively.

Across the United States, the dropout rate was higher for males, 3.8%, than for females, at 2.9%, according to the report.
Some notes for the TLDR crowd:

California improved its graduation rate by 7% in a single year, matching the national average.

Illinois managed to cut its "dropout" rate (the percentage of students who drop out of high school) by a factor of four, going from 12 to 3%.

71.4% of Hispanic students graduated high school in four years, up by 10 points since five years ago.

#2 Re: US High School Graduation Rate hits 40-year high

Posted: Thu Jan 24, 2013 12:41 am
by White Haven
That whole report -- the report itself, not the article -- is distinctly weird. It harps on the AFGR and the dropout rate, while ignoring the topic of students who graduate in more than four years, despite that being a rather crucial third category that is apparently vastly larger than the relatively-negligible dropout rate.

#3 Re: US High School Graduation Rate hits 40-year high

Posted: Thu Jan 24, 2013 4:43 am
by General Havoc
The dropout rates represent yearly dropouts, while the AFGR is a four-year figure, which accounts for much of the discrepancy. But yes, the report does not address the question of those who spend more than four years in High School but do graduate. Which is odd.

#4 Re: US High School Graduation Rate hits 40-year high

Posted: Thu Jan 24, 2013 7:29 am
by White Haven
Upon reflection, I actually really want to see those numbers, because those reflect the students who, whether because of internal difficulties or environmental factors or whatever, have a touch time in school, but who don't take the easy way out, the ones who dig in and just keep taking that run up at the wall until they run out of bricks.

EDIT: Wow, I really am half-awake. That...that...I'm not going to edit that, because a run-on sentence that bad really should be preserved for posterity. Holy comma-splicing, batman.

#5 Re: US High School Graduation Rate hits 40-year high

Posted: Fri Jan 25, 2013 3:37 pm
by Hotfoot
Having worked in the area in question, let me just say that any and all stats are almost certainly cooked in some way, shape, or form. It might be cynical, but when jobs rely on those numbers being up for the bean counters, shit gets notoriously fixed, and some of these things are incredibly easy to fudge.

That said, we'll see. Graduation rates are one of the few areas where it's harder to toy with the stats, so a general upswing can be good. We'll see if it lasts.

Part of the problem, however, is that in the areas that are in trouble (read: urban areas), you lose a lot of kids before they even enter high school.

#6 Re: US High School Graduation Rate hits 40-year high

Posted: Fri Jan 25, 2013 11:38 pm
by LadyTevar
Hotfoot wrote:Having worked in the area in question, let me just say that any and all stats are almost certainly cooked in some way, shape, or form. It might be cynical, but when jobs rely on those numbers being up for the bean counters, shit gets notoriously fixed, and some of these things are incredibly easy to fudge.

That said, we'll see. Graduation rates are one of the few areas where it's harder to toy with the stats, so a general upswing can be good. We'll see if it lasts.

Part of the problem, however, is that in the areas that are in trouble (read: urban areas), you lose a lot of kids before they even enter high school.
I wonder how many of those "Graduates" were actually reading/writing at the highschool level, and how many were "Not Left Behind"